First quarter sold prices in Forest Creek have been remarkably consistent from 2001 through 2011.
The average sold price in Forest Creek hovers between a low of $260,865 in 2004 and a high of $288,324 in 2007. The average for 2011 (with 1 day left in the quarter) is $277,371.
The median sold price is similarly consistent ranging from a low of $222,500 in 2004 to a high of $255,000 in 2005. The median for the first quarter of 2011 (with one day left to go) is $242,315.
The minimum sold price has also been consistent, ranging from a low of $153,500 in 2009 to a high of $201,020 in 2002. The lowest sold price during Q1 of 2011 was $170,100.
The most variation has been the highest sold price. One home sold for $769,000 in 2007. This is clearly an anomaly since the average for the highest sold price from 2001 through 2011 is $531,862.
All in all, it would be inaccurate to say that home values in Forest Creek are "sliding" based upon 1st quarter figures for the past 11 years. The neighborhood is remarkably consistent.
In any given development, the developer will typically plan on a range of prices calculated to maximize their investment. They will develop premium sections that target the top end and other sections that are less expensive. That is true in Forest Creek just as it is in the other neighborhoods that you mention. The developer intends for the lower priced homes to benefit from the "cache" of the higher priced homes.