How'd the real estate market look like in San Francisco in 2 years?

Asked by Jo, San Francisco, CA Tue Jan 8, 2008

I just brought a 1-bed condo in Lower Pac Height. I want to know how the real estate market look like in the city of San Francisco in 2 years if I want to sell it? Since the secondary mortgage crisis and everyone is talking about bad market, would I run in big risk of losing my investment if I plan to sell it soon? When would be a better timing to put it on market to make the most value out of it?

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Jed Lane, Agent, Petaluma, CA
Tue Jan 8, 2008
No one can tell you what the market will be like at any time in the future. The real estate field is inundated with pundits and prognosticators that are about as right as the wheather men. Even our own cheif economist at the California Association of Realtors will point out how far off she is every year on her predictions from the past year.
To sell your condo you will need about 10% of the sale price to cover transfer taxes and fees. The very good news is that you bought in one of the best neighborhoods in the best city, so even if you need to hold it for a while you should do OK.
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Sally Rosenm…, Agent, San Francisco, CA
Tue Jan 8, 2008
Dear Josephina,

I would suspect there will be a some appreciation but it will not be in double digits. 2008 is projected to be a slow year with the market getting better towards the end. Property appreciated last year around 3-4% but the number of properties sold dropped about 13-15% depending on where you get the figures. It really depends on the economy, interest rates and what happens with a new President. No one can truly predict -- it is just a guesstimate on everyone's part.

I think you will be fine if you pay your mortgage on time. The subprime debacle is not as bad in San Francisco, at least in the North end of town where you live. Hang on to your property - it is always a wise investment in the long run.

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Melanie Nard…, , San Francisco, CA
Tue Jan 8, 2008
Hi Josephina,
I wish I had a crystal ball! I usually advise clients to hold a property at least 3 years to recoup their selling costs. Overall the economic predictions I've read say that San Francisco should be fairly even over the next couple of years, although with minimal appreciation from 1% to 4%, and good job creation. You can take a look at data quick's numbers and I think they have some predictions on markets on their site.
1 vote
Liz Stevens, , Berkeley, CA
Tue Jan 8, 2008
More expensive than it is now.
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