Here is something else you haven't considered. Neighborhoods have cycles as people enter different periods of their lives. It may start out with young families, then as everyone ages, people change jobs, move to another style of house, etc--all kinds of reasons. When I first moved to my neighborhood, there was hardly ever a house for sale. Five years later, all of a sudden there was 1, then 3, then steady changeover. At some point it will be stable for several years, then change again.
Crime also has its cycles, especially different types of crime. I own some rental properties in Durham, in neighborhoods that would not be considered stellar, to put it mildly. However, on my particular block, the tenants and neighbors feel very safe and have not had any crime. Who can say why? The truth is, crime is everywhere. No matter where I go and even in my own driveway, I lock my cars, lock my doors and windows.
Good luck with your decision. Don't forget that you can always knock on some doors, ask people about the neighborhood. That should reassure you or make you decide to move.
I personally would definitely consider Hope Valley Farms North as it is a very solid stable neighborhood.