I would say that the chances of the HOA dues increasing is 100%. HOA dues always increase. I've never heard of any HOA dues actually decreasing. Have you? Regardless of the reasons (lake maintenance, water costs, electricity rates, landscaping fees, etc.), HOA dues increase, and usually every year, not just in this community, but in every community that has an HOA. In fact, the one I live in, increases about 5% every year.
Buyer's Agent Realtor