Interesting article from a Fed study on why foreclosures keep occurring:
http://seekingalpha.com/article/147604-boston-fed-we-don-t-u
Basic points seem to be:
1. A decent chunk of the requested mods are from people who don't actually NEED a mod to avoid foreclosure, but would obviously like it. Not too hard to come up with a story why someone needs a mod, even if they can keep paying. Granting mods to these folks just costs the banks money.
2. The re-default rates on mods is massive anyhow, and it amounts to just kicking the can down the road a bit.
Given those two, speculation is foreclosing is arguably better for the bottom line of the bank. Granting a mod to folks who truly need one will likely just lead default a bit further down the road. Granting a mod to a household that doesn't truly require one is just throwing cash away.
- Wed Jul 8 2009, 11:18