Hi Deann,
I'm in Northern CA, and when I started investing a few years ago, a local investment would not work, so I invested out of state. It can be a little daunting, so you can't get enough information. I turned to a full service company (then I went to work for them)
While there are no guarantees in investing, the best way to anticipate the viability and potential of a market is to have solid, empirically sound data and research. If you have the time and resources, it's key.
While employment drives population growth, it’s the intangibles that keep people in a particular neighborhood. So, in addition to market economics, the intangibles that make a community a highly-desirable place to live for a variety of demographic groups must be taken into consideration.
To thoroughly understand a market’s potential takes time and expertise. There are a number of factors to be considered to determine the future economic viability of a market, including:
• The natural path of growth within the metro
• The presence of large, sound, industry-diverse corporations
• Future plans for additional corporate entities
• Availability of State and Local government jobs
• The presence of cultural activities – music, art and nightlife
• Leisure interest and recreational activities, such as golf, hiking and athletics
• The development of retail outlets and restaurants
• The quality of local school systems
And beyond the market it's important to understand neighborhoods to know which will flourish and the type of homes that will appreciate.
Obviously, that's a subset of the list. We take into account 300+ micro & macro factors.
We recognize a few markets based on their unique fundamentals: Austin, Atlanta, Albequerque, Portland and Raleigh.
Important - you do need to be prepared to have ~3 months initial vacancy (unless you buy an existing rental with tenant). If the property is fantastic, and in a great highly desired neitghborhood, it shouldn't take that long, but mentally and financially, it's good to be prepared.
Another consideration: property managment. We highly recommending using a local property manager to reduce hassle factor and have someone that will maintain your property's integrity.
My rentals are in Albuquerque, Atlanta and Austin. They were rented within the first 60 days of close of escrow.
It does come down to timing. And while you can't precisely time a market, you can time your investment. If your plans are buy/hold - the sooner the better.
Hope that helps.
Brandie - Wed Feb 6 2008, 10:21