Mike --
One important thing I wanted to bring up for you to consider is the issue of interest rates. For example, financing $120,000 now at 6.0% would give you a $720.00 per month interest payment. If you waited for home values to go down 5% sometime next year (again, an arbitrary example), you might finance $110,000 at 6.75%. This would give you a $742.50 per month interest payment. So in this example, by waiting, you’ve cost yourself $22.50 per month when you’re considering cash flow. Keep in mind that this is only an example and I can no better predict future interest rates than when our real estate market will hit “bottom.”
So, if you aren’t able to get the home for less than $199,000, the data suggests it’s still a very good deal. Of course you can submit a “low-ball” offer in hopes the bank will bite. However, homes in this price bracket are selling quickly, so you need to formulate your initial offer to a bank very carefully. If you offer too low, the bank will likely receive offers higher than yours before you ever hear back. I’ve written and submitted many offers for clients that end in this manner, causing a lot of disappointment for everyone (often times ending in a purchase price above list price, hence why the data below suggests this).
Jim Cramer (Mad Money fame among more) recently predicted that the elusive “bottom” of the national real estate market will occur in 2009 Q3. As investments go, he is about as accurate a prognosticator as you will find, just look past the dramatics. However, keep in mind that this is a national forecast, and the Las Vegas real estate market has traditionally bucked national trends. But, just as your question indicated, we are all just simply speculating.
----------Market Data as of 8/27/2008-----------
SALES: Closed in past 6 months/Pending Close/Contingent Contract, 1500-2100 square feet, 3 story homes only (no price parameters), specific to Mountain's Edge area
Average Property: 1,783 Square Feet, 3 Beds, 3 Baths
Average List Price per Square Foot: $112.44
Average Sale Price per Square Foot: $120.67
RENTALS: Rented in past 6 months, 1500-2100 square feet, 3 story homes only (no price parameters), specific to Mountain's Edge area
Average Property: 1803 Square Feet, 3 Beds, 3 Baths
Average List (asking) Price: $1,454
Average Sale (leased) Price: $1,421
Hope this helps!
Linne Karstensson
Looking for great deals under $200,000? Check out
http://www.VegasUnder200K.com
BTW: Hi Eileen!!!
- Wed Aug 27 2008, 21:32