I do not wish agents to give selective advise. They should just do what is right when someone comes to them. It sounds like JR is trying to do the right thing. Here in Ca agents are still pushing themselves on sellers to list - I still get solicitations in the mail every week - "I can sell your home for top dollar etc etc" and they are pushing the buyers to pay more than they should - telling us "better buy now, prices will only be up next week" or "better increase your bid or you won't get this house and there may not be another house" - agents are playing both sides of the fence and hoping that we are all too naive to catch on. But all this aside - the point is buyers can change the market - buyers created the frenzy that drove up the prices so let's fix it and just stop buying until they go back down where they should be. - Tue Apr 29 2008, 19:18
Might be time for buyers to band together - don't make an offer unless it is low - without buyers there will be no sellers. If you must buy or just have to have a particular house go ahead and make the offer but get what you can in other concessions. There is no law that says you can't add to the standard real estate forms that are used. You can cross out, change info, add addendums, whatever you want - it is your offer. There may be a few items dictated by law that you must follow but for the most part everything is negotiable. Realtors don't like, they want a clean, fast, simple sale, but it is not their money. I still find it hard to believe that a realtor actually told us that "no, you cannot offer 20% less", and "no, you cannot change the time requriements on the form", and "no, you cannot make multiple offers". We as buyers need to be more in control. We have the power, let's use it to bring down the prices and get the deals we want. - Tue Apr 29 2008, 15:12
What a great article, thank you Yev. I love the reference to the Walmat Stimulas rebate. Did you know that Walmart stock has gone up 12 % since this was announced? Hope you all bought some. A much better investment than housing at this stage of the game. - Sat Apr 26 2008, 20:04
Not sure about the rest of the country but here is the info on real estate agents in CA - just think if every one of them bought a property this year - sales would soar!
from 2007
"An interesting phenomemon is occuring in California. With sales slowing and the market soft, you would expect the numbers to start to shrink. From roughly 495,000 licensees (brokers and agents), or 1 in 52 adults in the state, the number is now exclipsing 532,000. (At the end of January 2008, the state had 548,879 agents )
Meaning that 1 out of every 50 adults in California is a licensed real estate agent. " - Mon Apr 7 2008, 14:28
I can't believe no one has brought this up yet - if it is such a hot market why aren't all of the realtors on this thread out there buying something? Either a first time purchase or moving up. Are all happy with where you are at? According to most of the realtors this is the time to buy - so put your money where your mouth is. Let's hear your stories. When is the last time you bought? Of course, I realize it could be tough now - some lenders, WAMU is one, will now not loan to anyone in the real estate industry. - Mon Apr 7 2008, 14:07
I'm sure those that collect the 4K sneakers already own a house, perhaps several. They're not going to sell and buy just to keep the real estate agents in business. If your house is your home and you are happy why would you want to move? It is not so much that buyers are dragging their feet, there are just less of them out there. The baby boom years are gone. - Mon Apr 7 2008, 09:10
to Lucas, if you are a first time buyer you may qualify for the state program that allows you a low or no down payment and you can get a great loan/rate - try the best loan broker out there, marc medina - he knows all about the state program too
and to all - just learned today that some lenders - wamu is one, now no longer will lend to anyone in the real estate industry - so to you brokers, agents, escrow people out there - hope you are not looking to get a loan - the lenders don't have much faith in you at this point - Thu Mar 27 2008, 12:47
I agree with Yev and JR - Dot is getting lots of offers because there are fewer listings. What few buyers are out there are all going for the same few good deals. And oh yes, the liar loans, as we call them here - no more of those.
401 k though is doing fine, stock market is up 400 points, plus we are very diversified - don't want all your eggs in one basket now - Wed Mar 19 2008, 19:04
Thank goodness for Yev - he is well read, appears very educated and is a realist! A property may have 14 offers but when all is done it will still only be one sale. For there to be booming sales you would need 13 more properties at a low price for those other 13 buyers to create a sale. - Wed Mar 19 2008, 18:01
I am not really rooting for an overcorrection, just interested in following the trends - not sure how many cycles you have seen but we have seen many in Ca since the 1940s. No Hollywood is a pretty small area but I bet the same numbers will be found in other areas too. We are in different times now and there just aren't as many buyers as there used to be. The baby boomers are done and there are are not as many in the new generation to buy up the properties. So to answer Jordan's original post - it is not so much that buyers are dragging, there are just not as many of them anymore. - Tue Mar 18 2008, 22:18
I would be interested in the numbers as well. The Sunday Daily News Business section lists recent closings and a year ago it would fill more than one page. Now, barely 1/2 a page is needed. Each week it is a smaller and smaller list. And most of what is on that page, which would be the closed sales, are the low end homes and condos and areas, such as Lancaster. I believe they also report total number of listings. Brokers - this should be easy data for you to put your hands on - please share. This would be much more useful to us than letting us know about the many lookie loos coming through the properties. - Tue Mar 18 2008, 17:45
For those willing to put in the effort on a foreclosure here is a link where you can go direct
http://countrywide-foreclosures.blogspot.com/
you'll also find links to other lenders foreclosures - you'll be surprised how many there are. And why not go direct - who needs a realtor when these are so consumer unfriendly to begin with - the realtor won't be able to get you the inspection or waive the prequal - as mentioned on this list, the lenders are tough - direct contacts are included on the link - and the savings are wonderful
- Sat Mar 8 2008, 09:57
Well I am certainly glad to hear that none in this group are shying away from showing those buyers that do want to see them and take on the challenge of short sales and foreclosures. My hat is off to all of you - I wish more were like you. A buyer should be exposed to everything out there - if that is their choice - Fri Mar 7 2008, 18:45
a note to JR - our realtor will be receiving full commission on the property we are buying (if it goes through - last one failed inspection - really it should not even have been listed!) - it may be the total sum of her income for this year but that cannot be my concern - we did not ask her to take a cut and of course she did not offer - we have found though brokers willing to lose a deal over a few thousand rather than throw it in themselves - whatever happened to team effort? - Tue Mar 4 2008, 18:07
Sylvia, that is very nice that your sellers are able to keep their properties for rentals, most when they move up need the cash for the new downpayment. I guess I am thinking more of young families that have been a house for 5 years or so and are ready to move up to take advantage of this wonderful buyers market. But it does sound like to lucky new homeowners will now have a property
As to the person with all of the insight on the high rates, I guess that could happen but if you have a good loan broker you will still find a good rate. And don't forget the tax savings when you have a mortgage. And isn't it wonderful that the downpayment is in the house and not in something else that one has to pay tax on? Years from now it can be pulled out and rolled over - no tax. But don't get me started on property taxes - I would rather pay the seller more under the table than have it be part of the purchase price.
And let's see as to the broker who feels he earns his commission - watch out for the real estate lawyers - things are slowing down in the law firms and they will be looking for something to do - buyers can find the properties themselves on the internet - and per your suggestion might have to find the listings as well, but the attorneys can process the paperwork and forms - they charge by the hour, not by a percentage of the sale. The attorneys don't want to go door to door showing homes but they love to push paper and close deals - Tue Mar 4 2008, 17:56
Well now, that is pretty mean. . As mentioned we are not looking for someone to give away their house, in fact my daughter has purchased one. But if you want more buyers like her - qualified, good down, ready to pay a fair price, you are going to have to get some better listings. And although I could send out letters and knock on doors, why would I want to do that when there are realtors. Exactly what do you do for your commission - it doesn't sound like you are trying to find any good properties. Do you expect the buyer to find the property now too? Oh by the way, the house she did buy is from a realtor - he used it as an atm for the last few years and of course now has no income so he is selling at a loss - but even then he refused to be realistic about the price - but we are tired of the whole thing so we paid the extra. It won't make that much difference in the long run - rates are low. - Tue Mar 4 2008, 15:22
I have to disagree about sellers waiting it out and not wanting to sell now. If they are looking to move up this is the perfect time. They may take a loss on their home but percentage wise they will make it up in the long run if they are moving to something larger and more expensive - since that seller will also be taking a loss. Sounds like a pyramid but there are plenty out there that can take the loss since they have the equity. I am back to realtors but they are the ones really holding sales down - they discourage listing low, they discourage making a low ball offer - they want to keep things as high as possible and sales as close to 100% of price as possible. I welcome the foreclosures. The banks will not care - they will take what they can get eventually as they don't want to be landlords or homeowners. They will force the prices down. In the meantime, realtors should get their buyer the best loan possible - we have never seen anything like these interest rates for years! Mark Medina in Woodland Hills is the best broker out there - bar none - and no, no affiliation to me. - Tue Mar 4 2008, 14:31
In our case the extra low interest rate helped in buying a house now rather than waiting for the further drops, which I also think will be coming based on all of the foreclosures in the pipeline. I still think there are plenty of buyers out there, and they have to live somewhere, so if you get a good loan you can afford to buy now rather than rent. btw, our realtor had no clue about good financing, luckily we have an excellent loan broker that we used in the past. He has a loan to fit every need - in our case 4.85 fixed - this allowed us to overpay a bit on the house and get it now - - Tue Mar 4 2008, 11:33
Realtors, have you thought about going out and getting listings? All realtors seem more than happy to show the existing properties and work with buyers but I am not seeing any that will look for new listings. In our case we are looking for a Valley Park or Sunkist home in the West Valley - there were almost 5,000 of these built - there is no shortage. I would imagine there are owners that might like to move up to a larger house if they had a buyer - realtors - get out and find these people! If there are more of these starter homes available at a reasonable price (we are not looking for rock bottom here) they will sell - perhaps cut your commission a bit to make it work - and then they will buy - if the new buyers have nothing to pick from there will be no movement - there are lots of first time buyers out there - they are what will get sales going - Tue Mar 4 2008, 08:21