Update - I finally did buy after renting for awhile. By doing so, I was able to find the right property at the right price and saved $100,000 over what it would have been 3 years ago, and $50,000 over what it would have been last year. However, I intend to stay in it for a long time, and I am satisfied with the price I paid. If I tried to resell it tomorrow, it would probably still be a loser. The market shakeout is not over yet. - Sun Jul 5 2009, 04:26
Much would depend on how long you are likely to stay in your new place. Less than five years - forget about it, unless you find something at a real bargain basement price. Interest rate resets on existing mortgages, job losses, and a very large shadow "for sale" market, as well as new construction still finishing will continue to add to price pressure.
More on the shadow market - there are many, many places that are theoretically for sale, but not listed. The owners are waiting for better times, which will not be any time soon. The only question is - how long can they hold out before being forced to sell?
While the stimulus credit and low mortgage rates are appealing, they are only worth obtaining if you plan on being in place for the long term - say ten years.
Just remember, the real estate pros tried to sell you property all the way up, and all the way down. Even Warren Buffet admitted he bought too early and suffered significant losses. This recession has far to go, and when it stops going down, prices are apt to rise very slowly for the first few years, thus preventing you from recovering your acquisition and sale costs. - Sun Mar 1 2009, 09:30