Anyway, the best thing to do is exactly what you have been doing, research!! If we are guilty of claiming that the market is turning, it is because we are optimistic, but I am attaching the numbers for you via a Link.
Take a look for yourself and see what you think. The June numbers will be out on about the tenth and this same link should take you to them. As the inventory shrinks, the sales prices will improve, and so on. But if the inventory grows again, then we stay where we are.
I hope this helps and good luck.
Gary De Pury
Bay Vista Realty
It is really refreshing to find a realtor willing to concede that the market is still in bad shape. I am finding posts as old as 2007 claiming the market has bottomed out. Yet, the actual sales data shows that prices are still going down (even in desirable areas) and foreclosures are still high. I want a realtor who understands this and can find me a real bargain, even if that means I should wait another 6 - 12 months.
I won't tell you to contact a realtor considering I am a realtor in Wesley Chapel.
The sellers in our area are still asking too much for their homes in this market. The average home right now is on the market for 6 months to over a year due to overpricing. I have seen price reductions over $150,000. Also the sales price to final (last) listing price is about a 10-20% reduction depending on the area the home is located. All a buyer can do on the overpriced homes is make an offer comparatable to what other homes in the area are selling for. Your Realtor would do a CMA to give you an idea of fair market value and give you an idea of around what you should be paying for a particular home based on the current market situation. If I can be of any further assistance please let me know. My website link is below
What you are finding on the websites you are visiting is "lump-sum" statistics. Real estate is still location, location, location. What you need to do to get a very good approx. of what is happening in the area you want to be living is get the statistics at a subdivision or development level, not a city or area or county one, which is what you are getting with the websites you mention. Their job is to get you to sign up with them. Only a knowledgeable and responsible realtor that has patience will be able to give you what you need to know. It looks as if the subdivision you would like to be in is one of those that is called "desireable", which means location, location, location and where the properties are not dropping as much as in other areas.
Please let me know if we can help further.
The Szydlowski Team
Future Home Realty