If you are looking to find the fair value of a home , you should have a REALTOR prepare a market Analysis for you. All factors need to be considered . There is not enough information to make a sound assessment of this property you are considering. Market analysis is not just based on square footage and neighborhood comps . Gated , not gated , there really isn't a difference. Some people get a false sense of security in a gated community . There really is no way to avoid crime altogether unless you live in Disneyland . The best way to check out a neighborhood is to go to http://www.lvmpd.com. You can call the non emergency number too . Or go to the precinct station and ask . Also go to dinner on a late weekend night and see what the activity is like. Take safety classes and be aware of your environment . Teach your children what to do in an emergency . Teach them about what to look for and aware of. Random crime happens EVERYWHERE , gated or not . So dont get a false sense of security just because there is a big giant gate around you . As far as the future of this community in four years is hard to predict and my crystal ball broke about 6 years ago .To really get an accurate assessment of the economic future of that area you need to hire a REALTOR to do the research . Hope that helps