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Shall we rent and wait a little longer for the real estate market to stabilize, or buy a home now?

Thanks much to all of you who have answered my previous questions! Here is another interesting question we have been been searching for an answer...

We have been watching the statistics of the real estate market in central indiana, in particular, Zionsville and Carmel. We see fewer houses sold (or pending for sale) and more listings on Market in both Feb and March of 2008 than in 2007. Given these statistics, is it better for two of us who do not own a house right now to rent for another few months or half a year before buying a home?

Thanks in advance again!
 
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Home Buyer
in 46204
Peng Yu, Home Buyer in 46204 in 46204
Answers (7)
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Eric Karrfalt… was FIRST TO ANSWER
Now is the time to buy! Just like Warren Buffet, buy low, sell high. Now is the time to buy, three to five years from now may be the time to sell. Zionsville is growing, just look at the new Anson development at http://blog.ansonindiana.biz

Thu Jun 19 2008, 19:11
 
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Peng Yu, I feel that if any person wants to buy a house to make it their home for years to come that any time is a good time to buy. The difference between now ans March of 2005 is that the choice you have is MUCH greater and the price is much less. Both good thinks! The answer that stated that by the time "stats" reflect the bottom of this market..it WILL be way past the bottom. If you have good credit, saved money for a down payment and want a home start the search. When you walk through the door of your new home you'll know it immediately. Make your best and strongest offer first and use an agent that knows how to present that offer and how to negotiate the best price for you. Pre-qualify with a strong well known lender so that you know how much you can spend comfortably. Have reserve money set aside for home owning emergencies. If you do these things you will find that now is a great time for you to buy your dream. Hope this helps. Marty S.

Thu May 8 2008, 10:17
 
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Peng Yu,

There are an abundance of rent-vs-buy calculators on the Internet. If you haven't used one of these try this one: http://www.bankrate.com/brm/Calsystem2/Calculators/RentVsBuy…

Once you are more comfortable with buying then it's time to find a local mortgage provider and schedule an appointment. Sit down and talk honestly with this person. They will be able to provide you with specifric information that will help you make the best decision.

Good Luck!

Trey Bowden
(405) 340-3277

Thu May 8 2008, 10:00
 
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By the time you see a change in Market Stats ( which is retrospective data) the curve may be going back up. If the supply of homes is higher and the demand ( less buyers) is lower - your possibliites for negotiating a better deal may exist. If you keep watching the statistics, this window of opportunity may pass you by. Property History is important ,so you don't get caught up in an offer where a short sale is necessary and extends the decision time to several months...and then the bank says no... and a different market place exists when you go back out to start looking all over again. A Seasoned and Qualified REALTOR will present area market data and research the listings you select on paper first, to help you make an offer that will close successfully. THE REAL WORK nowadays, starts AFTER a deal is successfully negotiated --- it is getting through the process of multiple inspections, appraisal, titlework and survey issues and the ever increasing tightening lender/underwriting stipulations.... Best Wishes whatever your decision is..... to buy now or wait.
Sincerely,
Grace M. Safrin CRS, Broker Associate
F.C.Tucker Advantage Realty
www.safrin.net

Thu May 8 2008, 08:15
 
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Every market breathes. Whether it's the stock market or the real estate market. Right now the market has exhaled so prices are deflating and buyers are making great deals. So, how long until the market breathes in?...if you figure that one out we can collaborate on a book together. Perhaps the market will continue on a downward spiral for a while, or maybe it will hold steady shortly, perhaps it will start to increase sometime. Overtime the value of homes go up so if you think you will live in an area for a number of years buy, rates are good and sellers are negotiating. If you think you'll be moving in less than three years rent. Hope this helps out some.

Mon May 5 2008, 11:27
 
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Our market in San Luis Obispo, County.
We are still down in a few area's, however we are more protected, as we are a beach community, with a wonderful college, that always keeps us moving. I personally feel that we are at the stabilizing time, and property is moving, but you are still not to late to purchase at a great price.

Mon May 5 2008, 11:17
 
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FIRST ANSWER
It's always a balancing act if you’re trying to time the market. If you buy in the future, how are rates going to be? If you buy now, are you going to get a good deal? I would suggest that rates are at historic lows and there are plenty of buying opportunities now. To top it off, there are plenty of repo and corporate owned homes on the market that are being discounted. Statistics will give you the general state of the market but you really need to define what property you want before making a decision on general statistics. There are certain price ranges selling quite well in Zionsville and Carmel. Certain communities are selling as well. Looking at year-to-year averages, our market continues to grow. Looking at just a snapshot of 2-3 months market statistics gives an unrealistic picture. We are still in one of the top 5 years, historically, in the home market here. There are simply more buyers coming here every year. The reasons are many for this, but generally speaking housing and lifestyles are good in the communities you mentioned and population is growing.
The metric you expressed can be defined as: Months of Inventory based on Pended Sales. It will give a month to month accounting as to how things are doing. For Carmel, things have been getting better each month, contrary to what you have said. 1/08 was 9 months, 2/08 was 7.3 months, 3/08 was 6.8 months.
Contrasted to last years Months of Inventory based on Pended Sales: 1/07 was 6.6 months, 2/07 was 6 months, 3/07 was 5.3 months. 4 months of inventory or less was typical of our best years ever, so 5-6 months in today’s market shouldn't be viewed as that bad. I guess where I'm going with this is that things are not as bad as what you might believe if you just listened to the media.
Now given your analysis of more inventory and fewer sales, this translates to a buyers market. If homes are not selling and inventory increases, pricing will come down as the market dictates. I'm not really worried about the market totally dropping around here. The Indy area has always been pretty stable, no huge run ups and no huge losses. So do the math. A stable market, historically low rates, increasing inventory, sales dropping. All these add up to buying opportunities.

Mon May 5 2008, 11:10
 
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