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Bruce Ailion,CRS,CRB,ABR,CDPE,MSRE,ESQ's Blog

By Bruce Ailion | Agent in Marietta, GA

Cash Remains King - Trends in Cash Offers

Cash remains king in the market place. Overseas investors and local investors disappointed with bond and CD yields below 3% are flocking to real estate, profiting from depressed values and strong rental demand.  It is common to obtain current net yields from 6-15% and potential appreciation of 5% a year on top of current yields.

Teke Wiggin, Staff Writer for Inman News provided an insighful analysis of the recent increase in cash sales.

All-cash home purchases skyrocketed during the summer months of 2013, with their share of total sales growing by more than 40 percent from the beginning of June to the end of August, amid sustained appetite from investors, a recent spike in interest rates and tight inventory.

Cash purchases accounted for 45 percent of sales in August, up from the 2013 trough of 32 percent seen in April and May, according to RealtyTrac data provided exclusively to Inman News.

2013    % of Cash Sales
Jan
        34%
Feb
      35%
Mar      34%
Apr      32%
May     32%
Jun       34%
Jul        39%
Aug      45%

RealtyTrac

That indicates that the market share of cash sales has increased 41 percent in just the last three months.

The recent meteoric rise in cash sales’ market share hit its fastest clip yet in August, with cash purchases’ share of total sales jumping 6 percentage points month over month to 45 percent.

That’s the highest level that RealtyTrac has recorded since March 2012, right around when home prices hit their post-meltdown low. Looking back a year, cash sales’ market share was up a whopping 50 percent in August, RealtyTrac said.

What could possibly have driven such a drastic strengthening of cash sales’ hold on the market?

The jump in the cash sales’ share of the market “appears to be closely tied to the recent rise in interest rates,” RealtyTrac Vice President Daren Blomquist said. “From April to August there has been a 41 percent increase in the percentage of cash sales, and during that same time period there has been a 29 percent increase in the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage.”

Blomquist noted that institutional investors are an increasing share of the market, up from 9 percent in July to 10 percent in August.

There’s also been “a sharp rise in purchases at the foreclosure auction from a year ago, and these are by definition all-cash purchases,” he said.

Indeed, some housing experts attribute the growing proportion of cash sales to a rapid rise in interest rates spurred by statements from the Fed that it might begin to wind down its bond-buying program. Rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages began climbing in May, after hovering around record lows, thanks largely to the Fed’s stimulus program.

The jump in rates may have chipped away at demand from buyers who require mortgages, clearing the way for all-cash buyers to seize a larger share of home purchase.

Sustained demand from investors, 10 percent of whom RealtyTrac said were institutional, has swelled the ranks of these all-cash buyers, pumping a steady, strong flow of cash offers into the market.

Though there are signs that home supply is beginning to pick up, a still-sharp inventory shortage may also be helping along cash sales. When sellers receive several offers, which is common when there is scarce supply, they often opt for all-cash offers since such deals are easier to close.

2012    % of Cash Sales
Jan
        39%
Feb
      48%
Mar      52%
Apr      40%
May     33%
Jun       31%
Jul        31%
Aug      30%
Sep       29%
Oct       33%
Nov      33%
Dec      34%

RealtyTrac

Other recent data have also pointed to cash sales’ strong grip on the market. A Goldman Sachs Group report found that cash sales accounted for slightly more than 55 percent of total sales in July, up from just above 50 percent a year before, while the National Association of Realtors reported that their share of the market had grown from 27 percent to 31 percent during the same period.

Editor’s note: This story has been updated to reflect revised RealtyTrac data on cash sales and comments from RealtyTrac Vice President Daren Blomquist. 

More from Teke Wiggin

- See more at: http://www.inman.com/2013/09/26/cash-sales-share-of-total-purchases-skyrockets-by-nearly-a-third-in-2-months/#sthash.hXJZ2fCb.dpuf

The market in Atlanta still has opportunities to buy property at 50-70% of replacement costs and generate attractive yields.

Bruce Ailion,
Broker/Attorney  
RE/MAX Greater Atlanta
Success Real Estate Brokers
An Atlanta Real Estate Expert Serving Clients Since 1979
CRS, CRB, ABR, MSRE, CDPE, CIAS, e-PRO, ESQ
404-978-2281  Direct
770-973-9700  Office
bruce@locationlocationlocation.com
www.LocationLocationLocation.com
The Linked In REALTOR
http://www.linkedin.com/in/bruceailion

 
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