Opportunity knocking in Carmel Valley
Is it time to buy in Carmel Valley? Carmel Valley has had about 6 months of inventory of homes for sale since May 2011 and it's continuing to increase. For 18 months, other than August 2010, Carmel Valley has had under 6 months worth of inventory. The last time inventory was over six months for an extended period was February of 2009 to October 2009. Is this Carmel Valley's double dip? Don't wait to see if prices are going down again. Last time I had a number of buyers who waited too long to see a market dip and they lost out! In Carmel Valley only 13% of the detached single family home sales are distressed short sales, this is a much stronger market than others in San Diego.
4S Ranch Market Activity May 2010 to May 2011
The 4S Ranch market estate market is approaching 6 months worth of inventory. The last time we had six months worth of was in early 2008. Inventory started to grow around August/September 2010. Other than a little dip in at the end of December the inventory of homes for sale (including contingent listings) has remained in the mid to high 50′s.
If you were priced out of 4S Ranch before now is a great time to buy a home in 4S Ranch. There are homes available in every price range. From the low $400,00′s to over $1,000,000 there is something for everyone.
I have two great listings in 4S Ranch 17110 Silver Crest Drive and 17061 Albert Ave. Call me for a private showing 858-603-2895
On April 9th Pulte Homes had their Grand Opening celebration for the last 2 major new subdivisions in 4S Ranch. They had 3 gourmet food trucks and children’s play area including a bounce house, balloon artist and face painter. The turn out was lighter than last year when California West opened their new subdivision however it was a steady stream of vistors.The Pines - will be priced in the high $600,000′s with square footage ranging from 2,679 to 3,262.
The Willows - will be priced in the mid $700,000′s with square footage ranging from 3,353 to 3,986.
Currently, there are 3 other new home subdivisions selling in 4S Ranch:
1. Silhouette by EJL Homes priced from the mid $600,000′s for 2,691 to 3,356 square feet.
2. Monteluz by California West Communities - almost sold out, they are now selling their model homes – 3 to 6 Bedrooms / 2.5 to 5 Baths / Approx. 2,566 to 3,949 sf /Average Lot Size: 8,400 sf Pricing is from the high $600,000′s to the high $700,000′s.
3. Andalusia by California West Communities -3 to 6 Bedrooms / 3 to 5 Baths / Approx. 2,222 to 3,486 sf/ Average Lot Size: 6,900 sf/ Priced from the mid $600,000′s.
Stop by this weekend and find out why 4S Ranch is a Great Place to live!
Last week I took a HAFA (Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternative) training class. The information was great and the program is a must try to all borrowers in trouble. HAFA reaches out to troubled borrowers and first offers a loan modification. If that fails the next option would be a HAFA Short Sale.
If all of the below items apply then the next step would be to contact your lender.
BASIC HAFA ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA
1. First of all for HAFA short sales to have a good chance to work the owner must have fill out a verifiable “Hardship Affidavit”.
2. The first lien on the home must be $729,750 or less.
3. The loan must have been made on or before January 1, 2009.
4. For some period in the last 12 months, the home had to have been occupied by the borrower.
5. The loan must be delinquent or will soon be delinquent.
Each loan has different criteria and your lender will be able to give you the details on your particular situation.
Why am I so excited about the HAFA program?? Because a HAFA Short Sale = DEBT Forgiveness.
As of January 1, 2011 in California we have release of debt only on first loans, with short sale. So what about that large, troublesome second loan on the property? It is nasty - how can you get a fresh start if you still have a huge debt hanging over your head? Well, HAFA requires that debt forgiveness apply not only the first, but also on the seconed liens.
There are other reasons to be excited about HAFA such as:
$3,000 relocation assistance for the borrower
$6,000 towards settlement of the second lien
With a pre-approved HAFA, the listing price is set by the lender and the seller has 120 days to sell the home and the short sale offer can be approved in weeks rather than months.
If the short sale fails there is a “Deed in Lieu” option available.
Every distressed 4S Ranch homeowner should consider a HAFA short sale. Unfortunately when I meet with distressed sellers, most of them have not heard of the HAFA program. This program ends December 31, 2012.
In February, I wrote about the opportunity to buy a home in 4S Ranch at a great price and buyers took the advice. Showings at my listings more than tripled from January. Pending sales are up. As of today March 20th there are 28 pending sale plus another 15 contingent short sales, listings waiting for lender approval before going to pending status. To appreciate how good that is, as of February first there were only 12 pending sales, today 28. Pending sales have more than doubled. Don’t worry there are still some great homes available as a number of new listings came on the market in March. Homes are available in all sizes from 1,310 to 4,632 square feet, 3 to 6 bedrooms and 2 to 4 car garages. There is something for everyone, prices range from $406,000 to $980,000 for detached homes. I’ll say it again – It is a great time to buy in 4S Ranch!
Inventory is up and prices are down! When comparing February 2010 to February 2011- you'll see that the number of homes for sale has doubled and the number of pending sale is lower. Why? Because sales are slow. In late 2008 to early 2009, we saw some of the lowest prices ever solicited in 4S Ranch. However, in the last couple of months I have seen sale prices that go even below those lows. Now is a great time to make your move to 4S Ranch. The regular sales are competing with the short sales for buyers. There are homes available in all the price ranges. If you were priced out of a detached home before - now is the time to take a second look. Some of the detached condominiums are even hitting lows that go below $400,000. The short sale listings in this price range are going quickly and are receiving multiple offers - so be prepared. Great deals are easy to be found in 4S Ranch - both in the traditional and short sale listings.
Start looking for your 4S Ranch home, TODAY!! If you are looking for a home in the 3,000 to 4,000 sq.ft square foot range, I have a number of homes that are coming up for sale. Send me a email. Let's chat!!

Inventory is up - way up. I started tracking 4S Ranch market numbers in April 2008 and this is by far the highest I have ever seen it. Foreclosures and Short Sales rule. This morning I noticed a traditional sale listing, in Rosemary Lane, in relatively good condition and location listed at the same price as a recently sold Bank foreclosure that needed appliances, carpet, paint and was in an inferior location. There are some awesome deals out there for buyers. Prices have dropped from the small increase we saw at the end of 2009 beginning of 2010.
The scary part of this economy is that a number of home buyers in 2007 and 2008 who bought bank owned foreclosures are now receiving notices of default. These are buyers who got good deals, didn’t buy at the peak of the market and know the reality of a Notice of Default. This is happening not only in 4S Ranch but in many other areas as well. To me, part of the reason of why we can not recover is that this indicates it’s an employment issue combined with toxic loans (interest only loans are a nightmare) and negative equity. Good paying stable jobs will turn the economy around. No one buys a home and thinks they will be in foreclosure in just a couple of years.
There are at least 90 home owners in 4S Ranch facing foreclosure and many others that are just hanging on. The foreclosures need to take place to get the market stabilized. Banks stopping all foreclosures will not move us forward. When foreclosures were halted before I didn’t agree with it then either. Stopping foreclosures may have been good for the banks but not the homeowners. The homeowner was still stuck in a home they could no longer afford. Bank of America, for example, is only delaying foreclosure for about a month. It may sound harsh but getting that foreclosure or short sale completed and done with will allow homeowners to move on with their lives. I know it may sound sweet to be living in a home rent free for a year (many of the current notices of trustee sales defaulted on their loans over a year ago) but when you speak with the owners they are still broke, unhappy and living under a tremendous amount of stress in their lives. Getting to the next step will be taking the weight of the world off their shoulders and they can start over. Somewhere between 2 and 7 years they can buy a home again. But they need to have the short sale or foreclosure take place to start over.