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Jim Flanagan, GRI, e-PRO's Blog

By Jim Flanagan, GRI, e-PRO | Broker in Toms River, NJ

Retirement Homes in Ocean County, NJ (First Quarter 2011)

Posted on April 6, 2011by Jim Flanagan

Ocean County’s Adult Community Real Estate Market Report for the First Quarter of 2011:

Ocean County Adult Communities 1st Quarter 2011

Adult Communities in Ocean County-1st Quarter

This chart displays the sales and inventory of Homes in all of the Adult Communities in Ocean County, NJ.  The high-lighted area focuses on the first quarter of 2011.  As we can see, sales dipped in February but rebounded strongly in March.  Both of these factors could be attributed to a “snowier” than usual January in 2011. The most significant factor to observe is the “Months Inventory”, which SOLD OFF 3 months worth of supply of homes in one single month (March)!

Year-Over-Year Comparison with the First Quarter of 2010:

Adult Communities in Ocean County in the 1st Quarter of 2010

Ocean County's Adult Communities-1st Quarter of 2010

Notice the major differences, between this year and last, are the number of sales in January of this year (137 over 115) and the HUGE DIP in the “Months Inventory” in March of last year.  The latter is because we were entering the last  2 months of the “Extended Home-Buyer Tax Credit” here in Ocean County.  So, even with the Federal Government offering between $6,500 and $8,000 to home-buyers of Adult Communities at this time last year, Ocean County is  29 sales ahead of last year!  Why?

Sold/Closed Profile of Adult Communities in Ocean County (Y-O-Y):

Adult Communities in Ocean County Sold/Closed Profile

Profile of Sold/Closed Homes in Adult Communities

As we can easily see, there was a SURGE in sales UNDER $100,000 in the Adult Communities of Ocean County in the first quarter of 2011!  There were also significant increases in sales between $350,000 and $450,000.

In a nutshell; without the artificial demand created by the “Extended Home-Buyer Tax Credit”, home prices in the Adult Communities have depreciated to levels that have made them attractive to two “distinct” classes of retirees.  Remember, beginning January 1, 2011; 10,000 “Baby Boomers” turn 65 each and every day, and will do so for the next 19 years! Obviously, they are finding what they want, need and can AFFORD in the Adult Communities of Ocean County, NJ.

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