



There has been a lot of talk in the News Media regarding inflation, and historically periods of recession and depression are commonly followed by periods of inflation.
What will the coming period of inflation mean for home buyers and sellers?
An inflationary period will definitely bring new challenges to the real estate market (Well, some not so new to those who bought homes in the early 1980's- when interest rates where between 10-15%).
For Buyers: Most people who buy a home have to borrow money for the purchase. Borrowers are subject to repay the principle plus interest to their lenders. The interest rates are determined by the lender and established during the purchase process. Today's interest rate for a 30 year fixed rate mortgage is 5.36%, according to BankRate.com. If a Buyer purchases a home with a mortgage amount of $200,000 at today's 30 year fixed rate, their payment would be $1118.07 a month for principle & interest. However, say that the inflationary period causes interest rates to increase- let's say to 7.36%- that same mortgage will cost the Buyer/Borrower $1379.30 a month, a monthly payment increase of 23% for the same house at the same purchase price. We have all gotten use to "cheap" money and low interest rates. Some people might be shocked at a 2% increase in interest rates, but when I bought my first home in 2000, just 9 years ago, my interest rate was 8.25% and that was with good credit.
For Sellers: Selling your home in an inflationary period will be a challenge. Even though prices have fallen in many ares, the overall cost of buying a house will increase for Buyers as they are hit with higher interest rates on loans. This will cause the pool of available Buyers to shrink due to the simple lender qualifying ratios for monthly payment costs. Seller financing and assumable loans were great options in the 1980's, but assumable loans have gone the way of the dinosaur and many sellers don't own there homes out right to offer seller financing. This inflationary period could lead to even lower sales prices to off set the reduced buying power of Buyers and lead to even large amounts of inventory in areas of high priced housing.
So, when I am asked by Buyers or Sellers if we have reached the bottom of the market and if now is a good time to buy or sell a home- my answer would be to act sooner than later. There is no crystal ball to predict when inflation will start setting-in, but past indicators predict that inflation is likely in the near future.
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With tax time soon approaching, there are some tax advantages to owning a home instead of renting. |
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While some people choose the flexibility of renting and being somewhat free of maintenance while having the ability to move often, many choose ownership for other reasons. It would be nice to say that the main reason for owning a home is the pride of home ownership, but that’s not quite true for most people. Their reasons are purely economical and there are clear financial advantages. |
The final numbers have been calculated for Buncombe County real estate sales for 2008 by the Board of Realtors. The statistics are based on residential properties listed in the North Carolina Mountains MLS.
The average three bedroom residential property sold for $256,911; down from the previous 2007 average of $269,259. The total number of residential properties that sold in 2008 was 2,454 units with averaging days on the market from list to sell of 201. Residential sales were down by 1,025 units from 2007 sales reports.
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